Oct 28

Last week, I posted a blogpost talking about an analogy between social epidemics and mechanical wave. For a week, I have been thinking about the aspects of mechanical waves (or waves in general) that can be applied to social epidemics. First, let me thank @lou_kay, @hamraniii and @iBaUbaid for acting like a resounding board and resonating some ideas in my mind. However, what I’m thinking to include this time around is, you guessed it, resonance frequencies.

Resonance frequencies are specific frequencies that vary from one medium to another such that a small driving force can drive the system to oscillate on much higher amplitudes. For example, we all asked our parents to push us on a swing in a playground. If your parent pushes you at the right moment you will go higher but if they push you at the wrong moment your swing can die on spot (and most probably you’ll be hurt as well).

We now know two things, resonance directly depend on the medium (or system) a wave is operating in. Also, for resonance to happen, the driving force has to happen on specific time windows. And before I project the analogy, let me just emphasize that the resonating driving force in a social system (or any system) doesn’t necessarily need to be the same  impact point (or originating force). I’ll give two examples where resonance effect can be seen in a social trend.

1) I read, in an article, that the confrontations between Iranian Revolutionaries, back in 1979, and the Shah’s Imperial forces followed a certain schedule. In Iran, when a person dies, their family have a three-day funeral then a memorial on the seventh day after that person’s death and, finally, after 40 days the mourning ends. What happened was that Iranian demonstrators were suppressed by Imperial forces and many of them died. When their funerals took place, big demonstrations went out in those three days to mourn; more deaths happened. Seven days later, a memorial demonstration goes out and, obviously, more deaths occur and, finally, the same scenario happens at the end of the 40-day mourning period. So, in Iranian society, a very obvious resonance example is that if person XYZ dies on day one, his mourning resonant frequencies are 3, 7 and 40 days.

2) If you have been in touch with the internet pop-culture in the last few years, you must remember Tom Cruise’s Scientology video. Turns out that Ron Hubbard, founder of Scientology, was actually targeting celebrities so he can convert them to Scientologists. He thought that having celebrities on board would serve as a huge driving force to keep Scientology alive. I think, he understood the concept of driving force but his successors didn’t know anything about resonance. The way I see it, is that the Tom Cruise video came out in the exactly the wrong time; the time when everyone was looking for a new internet meme to make fun of. For all intents and purposes, the “leaked” video killed Scientology for a huge portion of the Internet generation.

From those two simple examples, we can see that social epidemics actually can be enforced by resonance and vice-versa. Now, I don’t claim that I know how social epidemics work but I would really appreciate it if any of you, my dear readers, refer these two blogposts to a sociologists (NOT a Scientologist). As a next step, I think I might include damping and constructive/destructive interference or I will try to compare mathematical models of the two concepts (If I actually find a suitable one for Social Epidemics). Finally, I’m really sorry for the longer-than-usual blogpost. Thanks a lot for reading!

  • Pingback: Wave, people wave!

  • http://twitter.com/iBaUbaid A. Ba-Ubaid

    Wallah this is a really interesting analogy !nnI don’t have anything to add at this point, but count me as a interested reader !nnKeep going and don’t you dare stop blogging ! LOL

  • http://twitter.com/faisalsyn Faisal Nawab

    very interesting blog! I’ve became very interested in scale-free networks lately, a study on complexity characteristics when mapping a system into a mathematical Graph. One of its main applications is the analysis of social interactions, which thrived with the availability of online social networks, hence huge datasets to study. The field is under a lot of attention and the fact that it (kind of) started by a physicist (i.e., Barbasi) made the field’s mathematical tools isomorphicu00a0to those of physics, statistical mechanics in particular.nnReturning to the topic of this blog. What I found of particular interest in your model is the ability tou00a0fluctuate the rate of informationu00a0dissemination (or epidemic spreading etc) with a solid framework. I can’t claim that I am an expert in the field, but judging from what I’ve already read, this to me sound moreu00a0plausibleu00a0than many of the proposed diffusion models. Models that have bounding limits, thresholds, and other artificial constraints.nnOne point that I’d like to allude is what you called the “medium” of spreading. From literature, we know that not only is the social degree of “connections” of individuals not Gaussian, it actually follows a power law distribution. Making the density more of a strange terrain to some models, specially mechanical ones I would imagine. That of course assuming social influence is linearly proportional to number of connections. Otherwise, what would determine the degree of influence (the density of the medium at that point)?nnI am certain this blog will wander around my mind for some time. Glad to see you’re back blogging.

    • http://www.geekinpractice.com amrush

      First, thank you for dropping by! Second, thank you for the insightful reply :) nnWell, I can’t claim I’m an expert in the field neither. I’m just imagining a concept that could hold.. I personally think there are many flaws in the model. First, a wave can be viewed as a sinusoidal or a group sinusoidal frequencies which means we have highs and lows .. etc. whereas in an epidemic, as I imagine, is a decreasing exponential.. maybe a multiplication of both? dunno .. I’m still playing with the idea in my head myself!nnlinear? if we learnt anything about sociology or psychology it is the fact that whatever math we use is hardly linear .. but we tend to simplify things such that they be linear … nnagain, I’m trying to develop an understanding of sociology through my physics background .. and, as you mentioned, the most obvious approach is statistical mechanics! but hey, if we all do the same thing in the same way we wouldn’t be where we are right now, no? :) nnthanks again for the brilliant comment!nnPS. I joined team fedora ;)

  • http://twitter.com/MaanMH Maan Mohammad

    I can see that you’re dealing with two entities here, one is orderly &u00a0thoroughly understood while the other is a whirlpool ofu00a0intertwinedu00a0factors linked in a highly implicit manner that it may seem as though it’s random with no rhyme of reason behind it. This seems to be the reason why it’s kinda hard as it dictates that you first need to somehow redefine this fuzzy entity into an orderly manner. I know, it’s no easy business especially if the goal is to reach a mathematical model, but it’s a must to make sure the analogy is lying on solid grounds. I’m sure this issue alone will be a big part of this work……non a side note, there’s a little story that has to do with what we’re saying here, ever heard the terms, “Redefining Energy in terms of mass” & “Redefining wood in terms of marble” ?u00a0the first one is easy (coz of E=mc2) but the second one is similar to what you’re trying to do and it’s a tough one if a formidable analogy is sought. But heeey !!! tough does not mean impossible, not with the beautiful minds we humans have so never let go of this thought ; )

  • http://themanalyst.com Manal Assaad

    This is quite interesting! Didn’t know you *swing* like that :D It reminded me of “The Tipping Point” by Malcolm Gladwell which actually dwells on Social epidemics, what causes them to start, but most importantly what causes to *tip* and become a wave as you described. If you haven’t read it, you should!